Mike White TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Mike White

NFL · Player Props

Mike White

QB · New York Jets

TD Passes

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Jets · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Mike White TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New York Jets will be forced to use backup QB Mike White in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Jets are a huge 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Mike White to attempt 37.8 passes in this game, on average: the 9th-most of all quarterbacks.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 5th-least pass-oriented team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 53.9% red zone pass rate.
The New York Jets have gone up against a stacked the box on just 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The New York Jets have utilized play action on a mere 23.1% of their passing plays since the start of last season (8th-least in the league), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.

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