Mike White Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Mike White

NFL · Player Props

Mike White

QB · New York Jets

Rushing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Jets · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Mike White Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+109/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -109 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Jets have gone up against a stacked the box on just 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The New York Jets have gone for it on 4th down 22.0% of the time since the start of last season (10th-most in the league), which usually means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.
The New York Jets have utilized some form of misdirection on 57.6% of their plays since the start of last season (3rd-most in the league), which can confuse the defense and bolster offensive production.

Favors Under

The New York Jets will be forced to use backup QB Mike White in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Jets are a huge 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Mike White to earn 1.5 carries in this game, on average: the 2nd-least of all QBs.
Mike White is not much of a rusher and has accounted for just 0.0% of his [OFFENSE_TEAMS]'s carries this year, placing him in the 1st percentile among QBs.

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