Mike Thomas Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Mike Thomas

NFL · Player Props

Mike Thomas

WR · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Carolina Panthers · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Mike Thomas Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+112/-148).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 8th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 61.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.2 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game versus the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 10th-most in the league.
Mike Thomas has gone out for fewer passes this year (30.7% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (16.9%).
Mike Thomas has notched many more air yards this season (16.0 per game) than he did last season (9.0 per game).

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-least plays run out of all the games this week at 125.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Mike Thomas has been among the weakest pass-catching WRs since the start of last season, averaging a mere 8.0 yards per game while ranking in the 10th percentile among WRs.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has shown strong efficiency vs. wideouts this year, conceding 7.65 yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-least in football.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has excelled when opposing WRs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.21 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-least in the league.

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