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Mike Gesicki

Mike Gesicki Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

Mike Gesicki Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-145/+115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Patriots are a big 8.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

The predictive model expects the New England Patriots as the 8th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots offense to be the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.32 seconds per play.

Mike Gesicki's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 66.3% to 78.1%.

This year, the feeble Dolphins pass defense has allowed a staggering 78.0% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 10th-worst rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

When talking about pass protection (and the effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Patriots ranks as the 10th-worst in the league this year.

As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Miami's collection of safeties has been very good this year, ranking as the best in football.

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