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Mike Gesicki

Mike Gesicki Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Mike Gesicki Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+145/-175).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the New England Patriots are projected by our trusted projection set to run 64.4 total plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The Patriots have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 61.4 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Mike Gesicki's 71.1% Adjusted Catch% this year represents a a noteworthy progression in his receiving skills over last year's 66.3% mark.
  • This year, the poor Raiders pass defense has been torched for a whopping 79.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 9th-largest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 57.8% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 7th-least pass-oriented offense in football has been the Patriots.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Raiders, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 33.8 per game) this year.
  • The New England O-line grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers grade out as the 10th-worst LB corps in the league this year in pass coverage.

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