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Mike Gesicki

Mike Gesicki Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Mike Gesicki Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.0 (+110/-150).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins to be the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 63.8% pass rate.

Opposing QBs have averaged 40.2 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 7th-most in the league.

THE BLITZ projects Mike Gesicki to total 3.5 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 75th percentile among tight ends.

Mike Gesicki's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% increasing from 67.2% to 85.3%.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box against opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dolphins are an enormous 7.5-point favorite in this game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Miami Dolphins have called the 10th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 57.0 plays per game.

Mike Gesicki has gone out for fewer passes this year (59.5% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (78.7%).

The Miami Dolphins offensive line grades out as the worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.

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