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Mike Gesicki

Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Cincinnati Bengals vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-127/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -127.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 61.6% of their plays: the 5th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • In this week's game, Mike Gesicki is forecasted by the model to finish in the 84th percentile among TEs with 5.3 targets.
  • Mike Gesicki has compiled significantly more air yards this season (30.0 per game) than he did last season (23.0 per game).
  • Mike Gesicki's 27.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 18.9.
  • Mike Gesicki has compiled significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (35.0) this season than he did last season (17.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread implies an extreme rushing game script for the Bengals, who are heavily favored by 8 points.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see only 126.1 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (just 53.0 per game on average).
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.
  • In regards to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Cincinnati Bengals grades out as the 9th-worst in football this year.

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