Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Mike Gesicki

NFL · Player Props

Mike Gesicki

TE · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 9, 2024

Updated Nov 4, 2024 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-127/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 61.6% of their plays: the 5th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
In this week's game, Mike Gesicki is forecasted by the model to finish in the 84th percentile among TEs with 5.3 targets.
Mike Gesicki has compiled significantly more air yards this season (30.0 per game) than he did last season (23.0 per game).
Mike Gesicki's 27.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 18.9.
Mike Gesicki has compiled significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (35.0) this season than he did last season (17.0).

Favors Under

This week's spread implies an extreme rushing game script for the Bengals, who are heavily favored by 8 points.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see only 126.1 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (just 53.0 per game on average).
Opposing QBs have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.
In regards to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Cincinnati Bengals grades out as the 9th-worst in football this year.

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