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Mike Gesicki
NFL · Player Props
Mike Gesicki
TE · New England Patriots
Receiving Yards
Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots · Week 6, 2023 Updated Oct 15, 2023 7:31 PM EST
NFL Props Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards

Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -133.

Favors Over
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the New England Patriots are projected by our trusted projection set to run 64.4 total plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The Patriots have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 61.4 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Mike Gesicki has compiled a staggering 34.0 air yards per game this year: 86th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • Mike Gesicki's 71.1% Adjusted Catch% this year represents a a noteworthy progression in his receiving skills over last year's 66.3% mark.
Favors Under
  • With a 57.8% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 7th-least pass-oriented offense in football has been the Patriots.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Raiders, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 33.8 per game) this year.
  • The New England O-line grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • Mike Gesicki's 6.4 adjusted yards per target this year shows a a material reduction in his receiving talent over last year's 8.4 figure.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers grade out as the 10th-worst LB corps in the league this year in pass coverage.
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