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Mike Gesicki

Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots

Mike Gesicki Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -133.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the New England Patriots are projected by our trusted projection set to run 64.4 total plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.

The Patriots have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 61.4 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Mike Gesicki has compiled a staggering 34.0 air yards per game this year: 86th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Mike Gesicki's 71.1% Adjusted Catch% this year represents a a noteworthy progression in his receiving skills over last year's 66.3% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 57.8% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 7th-least pass-oriented offense in football has been the Patriots.

Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Raiders, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 33.8 per game) this year.

The New England O-line grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

Mike Gesicki's 6.4 adjusted yards per target this year shows a a material reduction in his receiving talent over last year's 8.4 figure.

The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers grade out as the 10th-worst LB corps in the league this year in pass coverage.

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