Mike Evans Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Mike Evans

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receptions

San Francisco 49ers vs Miami Dolphins · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 20, 2026 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Evans Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 49ers have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 58.3 plays per game.
In this week's contest, Mike Evans is predicted by the model to find himself in the 80th percentile among WRs with 6.4 targets.
Mike Evans's 59.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) ranks him among the best in the league: 91st percentile for WRs.
Mike Evans profiles as one of the top pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 3.3 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 79th percentile.

Favors Under

This week's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the 49ers, who are overwhelmingly favored by 13 points.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the 49ers to pass on 51.8% of their chances: the 5th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast this game to see the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 119.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
With a feeble 55.8% Adjusted Completion Rate (12th percentile) since the start of last season, Mike Evans stands among the most unreliable receivers in the NFL when it comes to WRs.
The Miami Dolphins linebackers profile as the best group of LBs in football since the start of last season in defending receivers.