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Mike Evans

Mike Evans Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles

Mike Evans Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-152/+116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -152.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Buccaneers to pass on 59.3% of their plays: the 10th-greatest rate among all teams this week.

The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (37.0 per game) since the start of last season.

In this contest, Mike Evans is anticipated by our trusted projection set to slot into the 86th percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.7 targets.

Mike Evans's 64.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) ranks among the best in the NFL: 91st percentile for wideouts.

With a fantastic 4.4 adjusted receptions per game (83rd percentile) since the start of last season, Mike Evans places as one of the best wide receivers in the league in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers to run the 10th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 6th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Buccaneers since the start of last season (a measly 55.6 per game on average).

When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Philadelphia's group of safeties has been phenomenal since the start of last season, projecting as the 7th-best in football.

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