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Mike Evans

Mike Evans Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Denver Broncos

Mike Evans Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-145/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 6th-most pass-focused team in football (62.3% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Buccaneers.

In this week's contest, Mike Evans is predicted by the projections to position himself in the 87th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.8 targets.

Mike Evans's 66.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) grades out among the league leaders: 92nd percentile for WRs.

With an outstanding 4.3 adjusted receptions per game (85th percentile) since the start of last season, Mike Evans ranks as one of the top WRs in the league in the league.

The Broncos pass defense has allowed the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (68.1%) vs. wideouts since the start of last season (68.1%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a running game script.

Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers to call the 6th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The 6th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Buccaneers since the start of last season (a lowly 55.7 per game on average).

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