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Mike Evans

Mike Evans Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Washington Commanders

Mike Evans Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-159/+123).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 9th-most pass-focused team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 62.3% pass rate.

At the moment, the 7th-quickest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Buccaneers.

The Commanders defense has been a glaring pass funnel last year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 8th-most passes in football (35.4 per game) last year.

The predictive model expects Mike Evans to earn 7.9 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 88th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

Mike Evans's 66.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive volume) ranks among the best in football: 92nd percentile for wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line implies a running game script for the Buccaneers, who are favored by 3.5 points.

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