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Mike Evans
NFL · Player Props
Mike Evans
WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Receptions
Minnesota Vikings vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 1, 2023 Updated Sep 10, 2023 7:31 PM UTC
NFL Props Mike Evans Receptions

Mike Evans Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-190/+145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -190.

Favors Over
  • The Buccaneers are a 4.5-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
  • The Buccaneers rank as the 5th-most pass-heavy team in football (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 67.0% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 63.8 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Favors Under
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 7.5% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • Mike Evans has been among the most unreliable receivers in the NFL, completing just 61.4% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 18th percentile among WRs
  • The Minnesota Vikings cornerbacks rank as the 6th-best CB corps in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.
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