Mike Evans Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Mike Evans

NFL · Player Props

Mike Evans

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receptions

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 4:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Mike Evans Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-145).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 66.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 64.5 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Mike Evans has run a route on 89.7% of his offense's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile among wideouts.
THE BLITZ projects Mike Evans to notch 7.2 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 79th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

The Buccaneers are an enormous 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Buccaneers to call the 5th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Mike Evans's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 67.9% to 59.2%.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive line has afforded their quarterback just 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
The Carolina Panthers pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the quickest in the league since the start of last season.

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