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Mike Evans
NFL · Player Props
Mike Evans
WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Receptions
San Francisco 49ers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 14, 2022 Updated Dec 11, 2022 9:31 PM EST
NFL Props Mike Evans Receptions

Mike Evans Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +160 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +125.

Favors Over
  • The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 67.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offense to be the fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 25.22 seconds per snap.
  • THE BLITZ projects Mike Evans to earn 7.4 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 80th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Mike Evans's 52.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the league: 82nd percentile for wideouts.
Favors Under
  • Mike Evans's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Completion% falling off from 67.9% to 62.6%.
  • The San Francisco 49ers linebackers grade out as the best LB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line has given their quarterback a mere 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack stats across the board.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have used play action on just 17.2% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (least in the NFL), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.
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