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Mike Evans

Mike Evans Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Mike Evans Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 62.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 60.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 62.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Buccaneers to pass on 59.3% of their plays: the 10th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been a prominent pass funnel since the start of last season, compelling opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the league (37.0 per game) since the start of last season.
  • In this contest, Mike Evans is anticipated by our trusted projection set to slot into the 86th percentile when it comes to WRs with 7.7 targets.
  • Mike Evans has put up a whopping 107.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 96th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • Mike Evans's 64.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) ranks among the best in the NFL: 91st percentile for wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers to run the 10th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The 6th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Buccaneers since the start of last season (a measly 55.6 per game on average).
  • Mike Evans's 2.90 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season marks an impressive decrease in his efficiency in the open field over last season's 4.1% rate.
  • When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Philadelphia's group of safeties has been phenomenal since the start of last season, projecting as the 7th-best in football.

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