Mike Evans Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Mike Evans

NFL · Player Props

Mike Evans

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 9:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Mike Evans Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-111/-123).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 67.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 63.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 2nd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 67.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 9th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 61.4 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Mike Evans to total 9.1 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile among wideouts.
Mike Evans has accumulated far more air yards this year (120.0 per game) than he did last year (99.0 per game).

Favors Under

The Buccaneers are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.9 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 3rd-least in football.
The Los Angeles Rams defense has surrendered the 9th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 141.0) vs. wideouts this year.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line has given their QB a mere 2.30 seconds before the pass (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
The Los Angeles Rams defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-fastest in football since the start of last season.

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