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Mike Evans

Mike Evans Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Mike Evans Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 68.5 (-166/+123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 62.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 68.5 @ -166.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 4th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 63.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 6th-most in football.
  • THE BLITZ projects Mike Evans to earn 8.1 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 86th percentile among wideouts.
  • Mike Evans has compiled a whopping 102.0 air yards per game this year: 94th percentile among WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Buccaneers are a big 9.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line has allowed their quarterback just 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have used play action on just 17.2% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (least in the league), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.

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