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Mike Evans

Mike Evans Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Mike Evans Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 68.5 (-108/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 62.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 68.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 3rd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 64.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 6th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 60.8 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game against the Kansas City Chiefs defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Mike Evans has been among the worst wide receivers in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a mere 3.28 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 12th percentile.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs cornerbacks project as the 8th-best collection of CBs in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line has afforded their QB a mere 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the best in the league since the start of last season.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have stacked the box against opponents on just 11.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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