Mike Evans Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Mike Evans

NFL · Player Props

Mike Evans

WR · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Mike Evans Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-105/-126).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 50.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 50.5 @ -126.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Buccaneers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 67.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offense to be the fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 25.22 seconds per snap.
THE BLITZ projects Mike Evans to earn 7.4 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 80th percentile among wide receivers.
Mike Evans has totaled significantly more air yards this season (110.0 per game) than he did last season (102.0 per game).

Favors Under

Mike Evans's sure-handedness have diminished this year, with his Completion% falling off from 67.9% to 62.6%.
Mike Evans's pass-catching efficiency has tailed off this year, averaging just 8.89 yards-per-target compared to a 10.12 mark last year.
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has performed very well when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.13 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-least in the NFL.
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers grade out as the best LB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line has given their quarterback a mere 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack stats across the board.

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