Mike Davis Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Mike Davis

NFL · Player Props

Mike Davis

RB · Baltimore Ravens

Rushing Yards

New York Jets vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 12, 2022 2:58 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Davis Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 2nd-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 51.1% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have called the most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 68.8 plays per game.
Mike Davis has been on the field for 54.3% of his offense's snaps since the start of last season, putting him in the 78th percentile among RBs.
Opposing offenses have run for the most yards in the league (149 per game) versus the New York Jets defense since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.
Mike Davis's rushing effectiveness (3.52 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL since the start of last season (12th percentile among running backs).
Mike Davis has been among the weakest RBs in the league at generating extra running yardage, averaging a measly 2.59 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while ranking in the 20th percentile.

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