Michael Wilson Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Michael Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Michael Wilson

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Touchdowns

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 9, 2026

Updated Nov 5, 2026 7:28 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Wilson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+300/-3233).

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Cardinals being a giant -8.5-point underdog in this week's game.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 61.1% of their downs: the 6th-highest clip on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to be the 10th-most pass-focused team in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 59.3% red zone pass rate.
The 2nd-most plays in football have been called by the Arizona Cardinals this year (a monstrous 65.5 per game on average).
Michael Wilson has been an integral part of his team's pass game near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 30.9% this year, which places him in the 94th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to call the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.2 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Seattle Seahawks, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in football (just 32.8 per game) this year.
With a weak 59.5% Adjusted Completion Rate (24th percentile) this year, Michael Wilson stands among the worst possession receivers in football among WRs.
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (59.5%) versus wideouts this year (59.5%).
The Seahawks defense has surrendered the 8th-fewest TDs through the air in the league to wide receivers: 0.62 per game this year.

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