Michael Wilson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+264/-277).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The Cardinals are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
Our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals as the 3rd-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 63.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Cardinals to be the 10th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.4% red zone pass rate.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
Favors Under
To the extent of a defense's influence on tempo, at 28.92 seconds per snap, our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals as the 7th-most sluggish in football (in a neutral context) at the present time.
Opposing teams have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest level in football versus the Denver Broncos defense this year (66.0% Adjusted Completion%).
The Denver Broncos defense has surrendered the 5th-fewest receiving touchdowns in the NFL to wideouts: 0.50 per game this year.
When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Denver's unit has been great this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.