Michael Wilson Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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NFL · Player Props

Michael Wilson

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Touchdowns

Arizona Cardinals vs Detroit Lions · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 11, 2026 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Wilson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+146/-175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's spread indicates a passing game script for the Cardinals, who are -5.5-point underdogs.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cardinals to pass on 64.6% of their chances: the greatest rate among all teams this week.
The Cardinals rank as the 10th-most pass-focused offense in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year with a 60.2% red zone pass rate.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the projections to have 134.2 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.
The 7th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Arizona Cardinals this year (a staggering 61.5 per game on average).

Favors Under

The predictive model expects Michael Wilson to be a less important option in his offense's passing offense near the goal line in this game (26.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (32.1% in games he has played).
Opposing squads have rushed for the 5th-most TDs in football (1.50 per game) versus the Lions defense this year.