Michael Wilson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Michael Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Michael Wilson

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Receptions

Arizona Cardinals vs Denver Broncos · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 25, 2026 4:07 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Wilson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-104/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +108 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cardinals are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
Our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals as the 3rd-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 63.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
Michael Wilson's 95.7% Route Participation% this year marks a substantial improvement in his passing attack usage over last year's 84.8% figure.

Favors Under

To the extent of a defense's influence on tempo, at 28.92 seconds per snap, our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals as the 7th-most sluggish in football (in a neutral context) at the present time.
This year, the imposing Denver Broncos defense has yielded a measly 60.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 8th-smallest rate in the NFL.
When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Denver's unit has been great this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.

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