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Michael Wilson

Michael Wilson Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

Michael Wilson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cardinals are a massive 9.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

Michael Wilson has been much more involved in his offense's air attack this year (19.0% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (13.7%).

Michael Wilson's 68.6% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects a noteworthy improvement in his pass-catching ability over last season's 65.3% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 6th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (56.8% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Arizona Cardinals.

The predictive model expects the Cardinals to call the 4th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Arizona Cardinals have called the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 54.5 plays per game.

Opposing teams teams have been wary to test the pass defense of the San Francisco 49ers, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 30.0 per game) this year.

The 49ers linebackers rank as the 7th-best LB corps in football this year in defending receivers.

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