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Michael Wilson

Michael Wilson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Dallas Cowboys vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Michael Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Arizona Cardinals will be forced to use backup QB Jacoby Brissett in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • This game's line indicates a throwing game script for the Cardinals, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
  • The Cardinals rank as the 5th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 65.0% pass rate.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a massive 59.7 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to have only 131.2 plays on offense run: the lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • The Cardinals offensive line grades out as the worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • Michael Wilson's 18.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season reflects an impressive diminishment in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 36.0 figure.
  • Michael Wilson's 57.5% Adjusted Catch Rate this season reflects a material reduction in his receiving proficiency over last season's 67.0% figure.
  • Michael Wilson's 5.5 adjusted yards per target this year reflects a substantial decrease in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 8.3 mark.

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