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Michael Wilson

Michael Wilson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Arizona Cardinals vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Michael Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.33 seconds per snap.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.
  • With a sizeable 86.0% Route% (78th percentile) this year, Michael Wilson has been among the wideouts with the biggest workloads in football.
  • The Arizona Cardinals O-line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • Michael Wilson's 70.0% Adjusted Completion% this season marks a noteable progression in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 65.3% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 53.4% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may slide.
  • After averaging 61.0 air yards per game last year, Michael Wilson has posted significant losses this year, currently boasting 53.0 per game.
  • Michael Wilson's 8.1 adjusted yards per target this season shows a noteworthy decline in his receiving proficiency over last season's 9.5 figure.
  • Michael Wilson's 1.26 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season reflects an impressive reduction in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last season's 3.7% rate.

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