Michael Wilson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Michael Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Michael Wilson

WR · Arizona Cardinals

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Michael Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cardinals may lean on the pass less in this game (and call more carries) as a result of being be rolling with backup QB Joshua Dobbs.
A passing game script is suggested by the Cardinals being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
With an impressive 79.7% Adjusted Completion% (91st percentile) this year, Michael Wilson places among the most sure-handed receivers in the league among WRs.
With an outstanding 12.1 adjusted yards per target (92nd percentile) this year, Michael Wilson stands as one of the leading wide receivers in the NFL in the league.
As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's collection of LBs has been terrible this year, projecting as the 3rd-worst in the league.

Favors Under

The Arizona Cardinals have a new play-caller this year in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 5.5% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
At the moment, the 3rd-least pass-centric team in football (55.8% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Cardinals.
Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cardinals are projected by the projections to run just 62.8 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the 9th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 55.2 plays per game.
As it relates to protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Arizona Cardinals grades out as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.

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