My Account Log Out

reorder

Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts

Michael Pittman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+150/-200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -200.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -5-point disadvantage, the Colts are underdogs this week, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their usual game plan.

The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.1 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

Our trusted projections expect Michael Pittman to accumulate 7.6 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 84th percentile among wideouts.

The Indianapolis Colts offensive line grades out as the best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Colts to pass on 53.5% of their plays: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

The 5th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Colts this year (a mere 53.7 per game on average).

Michael Pittman's 22.8% Target% this season reflects a noteable decrease in his passing offense utilization over last season's 31.6% figure.

Michael Pittman's 3.9 adjusted receptions per game this year reflects a substantial drop-off in his receiving talent over last year's 6.7 figure.

Michael Pittman's 61.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this season signifies an impressive decline in his receiving proficiency over last season's 71.7% mark.

More Michael Pittman Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™