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Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

Michael Pittman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Colts to call the 2nd-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.

In this week's game, Michael Pittman is expected by our trusted projection set to land in the 100th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 10.1 targets.

Michael Pittman has been a big part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 31.3% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.

When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Colts ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Colts have been the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 54.2% pass rate.

The fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Colts this year (a measly 48.0 per game on average).

Michael Pittman's 4.1 adjusted receptions per game this year represents a substantial regression in his receiving ability over last year's 6.7 figure.

Michael Pittman's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 71.7% to 58.7%.

More Michael Pittman Player Props

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