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Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Indianapolis Colts vs Chicago Bears

Michael Pittman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -101 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.

The Bears defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (37.1 per game) since the start of last season.

With an extraordinary 96.1% Route Participation% (99th percentile) since the start of last season, Michael Pittman stands among the wide receivers with the highest volume in the league.

Our trusted projections expect Michael Pittman to garner 8.6 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 91st percentile among wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 54.0% of their plays: the 5th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

The Bears pass defense has given up the 10th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (62.8%) to wideouts since the start of last season (62.8%).

As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Chicago's CB corps has been very good since the start of last season, profiling as the 6th-best in the league.

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