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Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Indianapolis Colts vs Detroit Lions

Michael Pittman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-132/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +128 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread indicates an extreme passing game script for the Colts, who are giant -7-point underdogs.

The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.2 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Opposing teams have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game against the Detroit Lions defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

The leading projections forecast Michael Pittman to garner 7.8 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 6th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 55.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a mere 54.3 per game on average).

Michael Pittman has been a much smaller piece of his team's passing attack this year (22.5% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (31.6%).

Michael Pittman's 3.4 adjusted receptions per game this season shows a meaningful decrease in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 6.7 mark.

Michael Pittman's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 71.7% to 56.3%.

More Michael Pittman Player Props

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