Michael Pittman Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Michael Pittman

NFL · Player Props

Michael Pittman

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receptions

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 8, 2023 7:26 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Pittman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to see 129.4 offensive plays run: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.
The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 62.0 plays per game.
The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.
Michael Pittman has run a route on 97.6% of his offense's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 97th percentile among wideouts.
The leading projections forecast Michael Pittman to total 9.0 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

The Colts will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Shane Steichen, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to lean 3.0% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 56.4% pass rate.

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