Michael Pittman Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Michael Pittman

NFL · Player Props

Michael Pittman

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receptions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Michael Pittman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-127/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -139 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is indicated by the Colts being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
The projections expect the Colts to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.0 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 60.5 plays per game.
This week, Michael Pittman is forecasted by the model to land in the 99th percentile among WRs with 11.1 targets.
Michael Pittman's 31.7% Target Rate this season marks a substantial growth in his air attack volume over last season's 26.4% figure.

Favors Under

The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (62.8%) vs. wide receivers this year (62.8%).

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