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Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

New York Giants vs Indianapolis Colts

Michael Pittman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Indianapolis Colts will be starting backup QB Nick Foles in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Colts are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 60.3 plays per game.

Michael Pittman has run a route on 98.4% of his offense's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among wideouts.

THE BLITZ projects Michael Pittman to total 8.7 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Colts to run the 5th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Indianapolis Colts offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.

The New York Giants pass defense has given up the 8th-lowest Completion% in the league (64%) versus wideouts this year (64.0%).

The New York Giants have stacked the box against opponents on just 11.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the league). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

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