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Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Michael Pittman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 62.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 64.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Colts to call the 2nd-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.
  • In this week's game, Michael Pittman is expected by our trusted projection set to land in the 100th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 10.1 targets.
  • Michael Pittman has been a big part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 31.3% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 99th percentile among wide receivers.
  • As it relates to air yards, Michael Pittman ranks in the lofty 83rd percentile among wide receivers this year, totaling a massive 78.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Colts have been the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 54.2% pass rate.
  • The fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Colts this year (a measly 48.0 per game on average).
  • Michael Pittman has put up substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (48.0) this year than he did last year (72.0).
  • Michael Pittman's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 71.7% to 58.7%.

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