My Account Log Out
 
 
Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Michael Pittman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 43.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 45.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to see 130.2 plays on offense run: the 5th-most among all games this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • With an elite 95.9% Route Participation% (99th percentile) since the start of last season, Michael Pittman stands among the wideouts with the biggest workloads in football.
  • In this week's game, Michael Pittman is forecasted by the projections to find himself in the 91st percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.4 targets.
  • Michael Pittman has notched a staggering 76.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 84th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Colts to pass on 52.9% of their opportunities: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Steelers defense since the start of last season: 7th-fewest in the NFL.
  • Michael Pittman's possession skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 71.7% to 54.4%.
  • Michael Pittman's 4.6 adjusted yards per target this season marks a meaningful reduction in his pass-catching talent over last season's 7.7 mark.
  • Michael Pittman's skills in generating extra yardage have worsened this year, averaging a measly 2.45 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 4.09 figure last year.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™