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Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

Michael Pittman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 64.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 69.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 133.2 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.

The Colts have run the 10th-most plays in football last year, averaging a staggering 59.9 plays per game.

The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.

The projections expect Michael Pittman to accrue 9.7 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 97th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

With an exceptional 31.4% Target Rate (99th percentile) last year, Michael Pittman stands among the wideouts with the highest volume in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Colts to pass on 55.6% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Houston's CB corps has been outstanding last year, grading out as the 4th-best in the NFL.

More Michael Pittman Player Props

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