Michael Pittman Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Michael Pittman

NFL · Player Props

Michael Pittman

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 4, 2023 3:31 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Pittman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 72.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Indianapolis Colts to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.8 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The 8th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.3 per game on average).
Our trusted projections expect Michael Pittman to total 10.6 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 97th percentile among wideouts.
Michael Pittman has accrued significantly more air yards this year (78.0 per game) than he did last year (67.0 per game).
Michael Pittman's 69.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive volume) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 60.9.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts as the 5th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.2% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

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