Michael Pittman Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Michael Pittman

NFL · Player Props

Michael Pittman

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 7, 2022 12:20 AM UTC

Analysis

Michael Pittman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (+108/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 69.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 63.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Colts are a 3-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
The Indianapolis Colts have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 64.2 plays per game.
Michael Pittman has run a route on 96.5% of his team's passing plays this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile among WRs.
THE BLITZ projects Michael Pittman to garner 8.4 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 88th percentile among wide receivers.
Michael Pittman has accumulated a whopping 73.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 81st percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace on the slate this week, averaging 26.33 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Denver Broncos defense has yielded the least receiving yards per game in the league (just 110.0) to wideouts this year.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Completion% in football (59.9%) to wide receivers this year (59.9%).
The Denver Broncos pass defense has displayed strong efficiency against WRs this year, allowing 6.27 yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-least in the NFL.
The Denver Broncos cornerbacks grade out as the 6th-best group of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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