Michael Pittman Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Michael Pittman

NFL · Player Props

Michael Pittman

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

New York Giants vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 2, 2023 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Michael Pittman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 57.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 54.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Indianapolis Colts will be starting backup QB Nick Foles in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Colts are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 60.3 plays per game.
Michael Pittman has run a route on 98.4% of his offense's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among wideouts.
THE BLITZ projects Michael Pittman to total 8.7 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Colts to run the 5th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Michael Pittman has put up significantly fewer air yards this season (64.0 per game) than he did last season (75.0 per game).
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
Michael Pittman's pass-catching effectiveness has diminished this season, compiling a mere 6.97 yards-per-target vs a 8.64 mark last season.
The New York Giants pass defense has given up the 8th-lowest Completion% in the league (64%) versus wideouts this year (64.0%).

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