Michael Pittman Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Michael Pittman

NFL · Player Props

Michael Pittman

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Michael Pittman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 57.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 60.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 57.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Colts are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 6th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 64.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 60.8 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Favors Under

Michael Pittman has totaled far fewer air yards this year (64.0 per game) than he did last year (75.0 per game).
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
Michael Pittman's receiving efficiency has tailed off this year, notching a measly 7.64 yards-per-target compared to a 8.68 figure last year.
The Philadelphia Eagles defense has conceded the 6th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 136.0) to wideouts this year.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has yielded the lowest Completion% in the NFL (58.4%) to WRs this year (58.4%).

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