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Michael Pittman

Michael Pittman Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Indianapolis Colts vs Philadelphia Eagles

Michael Pittman Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 57.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 60.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 57.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Colts are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 6th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 64.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Indianapolis Colts have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 60.8 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Michael Pittman has totaled far fewer air yards this year (64.0 per game) than he did last year (75.0 per game).

The Indianapolis Colts offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

Michael Pittman's receiving efficiency has tailed off this year, notching a measly 7.64 yards-per-target compared to a 8.68 figure last year.

The Philadelphia Eagles defense has conceded the 6th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 136.0) to wideouts this year.

The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has yielded the lowest Completion% in the NFL (58.4%) to WRs this year (58.4%).

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