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Michael Pittman
NFL · Player Props
Michael Pittman
WR · Indianapolis Colts
Receiving TD
Indianapolis Colts vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 11, 2022 Updated Nov 21, 2022 12:21 AM UTC
NFL Props Michael Pittman Receiving TD

Michael Pittman Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+188/-275).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +198 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +188.

Favors Over
  • The Colts are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 137.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 60.8 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Michael Pittman to be much more involved in his offense's passing attack near the goal line this week (24.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (14.7% in games he has played).
Favors Under
  • Michael Pittman has totaled far fewer air yards this year (64.0 per game) than he did last year (75.0 per game).
  • The Indianapolis Colts offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has yielded the lowest Completion% in the NFL (58.4%) to WRs this year (58.4%).
  • The Philadelphia Eagles defense has surrendered the 7th-least touchdowns through the air in the NFL to wide receivers: 0.67 per game this year.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks profile as the 2nd-best CB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.
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