Michael Mayer Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

reorder

NBA Season Tips Off Soon — Don’t Miss the Action! 🏀 18:12:44 🏀 SUBSCRIBE NOW

NFL · Player Props

Michael Mayer

TE · Las Vegas Raiders

Receptions

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 4, 2026 8:32 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Mayer Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-125/+117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's spread implies a passing game script for the Raiders, who are -5-point underdogs.
Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Raiders to pass on 61.7% of their chances: the 3rd-highest frequency among all teams this week.
The leading projections forecast this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.
In this game, Michael Mayer is anticipated by our trusted projection set to place in the 80th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.1 targets.

Favors Under

The Raiders have called the 4th-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 53.0 plays per game.
Michael Mayer's 84.1% Snap% this year illustrates a substantial gain in his offensive utilization over last year's 59.9% rate.
The Raiders offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all air attack stats across the board.
As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Kansas City's unit has been tremendous since the start of last season, grading out as the 6th-best in football.