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Michael Gallup

Michael Gallup Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Los Angeles Chargers vs Dallas Cowboys

Michael Gallup Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+126/-162).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -148 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +126.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Cowboys offensive scheme to skew 3.2% more towards the passing game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays.

The Chargers defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (40.8 per game) this year.

Michael Gallup's 66.3% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a a noteable gain in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 54.2% rate.

The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers profile as the worst unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to be the least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Cowboys to run the 5th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.7 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

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