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Michael Gallup

Michael Gallup Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Buffalo Bills vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Michael Gallup Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Cowboys as the 8th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 60.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects the Dallas Cowboys to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.1 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The 4th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a monstrous 61.2 per game on average).
  • Michael Gallup's 58.5% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a noteable improvement in his pass-catching talent over last year's 54.2% figure.
  • The Buffalo Bills pass defense has allowed the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (72.3%) to wide receivers this year (72.3%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Michael Gallup's 61.2% Route% this year reflects an impressive decline in his passing game volume over last year's 86.0% mark.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Buffalo's CB corps has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.

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