Michael Gallup Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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Michael Gallup

NFL · Player Props

Michael Gallup

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Receptions

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Gallup Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+140/-175).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -185 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 143.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Dallas Cowboys have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 59.8 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Michael Gallup has run a route on 86.0% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking in the 75th percentile among WRs.
The Dallas Cowboys offensive line has given their QB 2.53 seconds before getting pressured (9th-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Michael Gallup's receiving talent has declined this season, notching just 2.8 yards per game compared to 3.9 last season.
Michael Gallup's receiving reliability have worsened this season, with his Completion% falling off from 60.3% to 54.2%.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Completion% in football (63.4%) to WRs this year (63.4%).

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