Michael Gallup Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Michael Gallup

NFL · Player Props

Michael Gallup

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Receptions

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 8, 2023 9:21 PM EST

Analysis

Michael Gallup Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+140/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -180.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cowboys to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 68.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Dallas Cowboys have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 59.7 plays per game.
The Dallas Cowboys O-line has given their quarterback 2.53 seconds before getting pressured (9th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
The Dallas Cowboys have gone no-huddle on 12.6% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (9th-most in football). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.

Favors Under

The Cowboys are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 6th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 52.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game against the Washington Commanders defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.
Michael Gallup's pass-catching performance diminished this season, notching a measly 2.9 yards per game compared to 3.9 last season.
Michael Gallup's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 60.3% to 57.3%.

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