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Michael Gallup

Michael Gallup Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Dallas Cowboys vs Indianapolis Colts

Michael Gallup Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 140.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Michael Gallup to accumulate 6.6 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 76th percentile among wide receivers.

Michael Gallup's 47.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the league leaders: 76th percentile for WRs.

The Indianapolis Colts defensive ends rank as the 6th-worst DE corps in football this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cowboys are a huge 10.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 8th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 3rd-least in the NFL.

Michael Gallup has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the league, catching a mere 58.0% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 9th percentile among wide receivers

The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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